標題
Title
港珠澳大橋收費標準與定價模型預測
Study on the Forecasting Model of the Hong Kong – Zhuhai – Macau Bridge Charges and Pricing
作者
Author
楊少華,李洋
YANG Shaohua, LI Yang
摘要
Abstract
港珠澳大橋是世界上最長的跨海大橋,對港珠澳和珠江西岸地區經濟的發展具重要戰略意義,在大橋將要完工之際,大橋收費定價成為社會各界關注的熱點問題。本文運用平均成本定價原理研究大橋收費的定價問題,結合標準車當量換算系數得到各車型的收費區間,對比國內知名大橋檢驗定價的合理性,並對影響大橋收費標準的因素進行靈敏度分析,以在定價的基礎上對大橋的收費標準進行預測,最後提出優化收費定價的政策建議。

Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau Bridge (hereinafter referred to as the bridge) is the world’s longest cross-sea bridge, which is of great strategic significance to the economic development of Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau and the Pearl River West Bank. Now the construction of the bridge will be completed, pricing of bridge charges has become a hot issue in society. This paper used the principle of average cost pricing to study the problem of bridge price charging, and calculated the various types of car toll interval combined with the standard car equivalent conversion factor. By comparing the well-known domestic bridge charges, this paper verified the rationality of the results. What’s more, sensitivity analysis of factors influencing the toll pricing of bridge is carried out. Finally, some suggestions are put forward to optimize the pricing policy.

關鍵詞
Keywords
港珠澳大橋,平均成本,收費定價,區間估計,靈敏度分析,收費模式
Hong Kong – Zhuhai – Macau Bridge, Average cost, Price charging, Interval estimation, Sensitivity analysis, Charging mode
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