珠海—澳門物流產業與經濟增長效應研究

This study mainly discusses the influence of logistics industry in Zhuhai and Macao on national economy. The results show that both Zhuhai and Macao logistics industry have a critical and positive impact on local national income. The second half of this paper discusses the relationship between Macao’s national economy and various processing and manufacturing industries, construction real estate, tourism and gambling, finance and logistics industries. These factors are highly related to Macao’s national income, of which the processing and manufacturing relationship is negative, the rest are positive. This study adopts the least square method of linear regression of one and multiple variables, then studies the relationship between national economy and logistics industry and the stability of the model are examined by autocorrelation and partial correlation. Granger causality test is also used to explore the relationship between total logistics amount and logistics cost. As far as statistical method is concerned, the preconditions of least square method, including the first self-correlation and stability of sequence and the normality of variables, are considered. The regression results are statistically significant and meet the author’s expectation. The results can also provide suggestions for the future development of logistics industry.